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Connecticut Man1
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Blumenthal's numbers in CT-SEN race off the charts

When you consider the polarization of politics across the nation, Connecticut AG Richard Blumenthal's numbers both in favorabilities and versus any of the candidates in the #GOPsmackdown primary have to be considered ridiculously good across the board:

Blumenthal heavily favored

When Chris Dodd retired last night his seat went from one of the most
vulnerable to one of the safest for Senate Democrats. Attorney General
Richard Blumenthal leads all three of the Republicans in the race by at
least 30 points in polling we conducted Monday and Tuesday night before
Dodd's announcement.

Blumenthal
is unusually popular, especially in hyper partisan times when voters
like few politicians. 59% have a favorable opinion of him to just 19%
who see him negatively. It's no surprise that he's liked by 71% of
Democrats and 60% of independents, but even Republicans view him
favorably by a 37/35 margin. It doesn't take a lot of hands to count
the number of Democratic politicians with positive numbers among GOP
voters these days.

Blumenthal leads Rob Simmons 59-28, Linda
McMahon 60-28, and Peter Schiff 63-23. It would take an epic collapse
for him not to be Connecticut's next Senator.

Calling Blumenthal heavily favored is an understatement.

Regardless of his low favorabilities, if you look at Sen. Dodd's numbers versus the GOP primary candidates polled, he barely loses to Simmons and it is probably within the margin of error since it is only a 4 point gap, ties McMahon and beats Schiff. Any guesses as to whether or not Senator Dodd had acess to these numbers before making his decision last night?

CT-05 Rep. Chris Murphy beats all 3 candidates but his numbers are lower than Blumenthal's, while President Barack Obama and healthcare reform also performed well in this Connecticut poll. Peter Schiff may as well drop out of the race now as all 3 polled Democratic candidates would likely beat him with even Dodd having a 7 point lead against him.

Some of the numbers below the fold.

Crosstabs and full results in PDF available here.

Connecticut Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Barack
Obama’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 54%

Disapprove...................................................... 38%
Not Sure.......................................................... 8%

Q2 Do you support or oppose President Obama’s
health care plan, or do you not have an
opinion?

Support ........................................................... 47%
Oppose ........................................................... 43%
No Opinion...................................................... 10%

Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chris
Dodd’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 29%
Disapprove...................................................... 57%
Not Sure.......................................................... 14%

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Richard Blumenthal?

Favorable........................................................ 59%
Unfavorable .................................................... 19%
Not Sure.......................................................... 22%

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Linda McMahon?

Favorable .............. 26%
Unfavorable........... 29%
Not Sure................ 45%

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Rob Simmons?

Favorable............... .27%
Unfavorable ........... .24%
Not Sure................. .49%


Q9 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Chris Dodd and Republican Linda
McMahon, who would you vote for?

Dodd ............................................................... 43%
McMahon........................................................ 43%

Undecided....................................................... 14%

Q10 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Chris Dodd and Republican Peter
Schiff, who would you vote for?

Dodd ............................................................... 44%
Schiff............................................................... 37%
Undecided....................................................... 18%

Q11 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Chris Dodd and Republican Rob
Simmons, who would you vote for?

Dodd ............................................................... 40%
Simmons......................................................... 44%
Undecided....................................................... 17%

Q12 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Richard Blumenthal and Republican
Linda McMahon, who would you vote for?

Blumenthal...................................................... 60%
McMahon........................................................ 28%
Undecided....................................................... 12%

Q14 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Richard Blumenthal and Republican
Rob Simmons, who would you vote for?

Blumenthal...................................................... 59%
Simmons......................................................... 28%
Undecided....................................................... 13%

Q15 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Chris Murphy and Republican Linda
McMahon, who would you vote for?

Murphy............................................................ 43%
McMahon........................................................ 36%
Undecided....................................................... 21%


Q17 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were
Democrat Chris Murphy and Republican Rob
Simmons, who would you vote for?

Murphy............................................................ 42%
Simmons......................................................... 35%
Undecided....................................................... 24%

 

January 4-5, 2010

Survey of 522 Connecticut voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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Comments

RWNJ Rasmussen poll numbers out:

From TPMDC we get the news that even Rasmussen can't make this pretty for the GOP:

Blumenthal leads former Rep. Rob Simmons by 56%-33%;
Blumenthal leads former World Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon
by 58%-34%; and Blumenthal leads financial analyst Peter Schiff by
60%-24%.

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