Supply Down, Oil Up. Supply Up, Oil . . Up [Redux]

Graeme Weardon/Guardian: Oil prices: George Soros warns that speculators could trigger stock market crash The Financial Times reported today that Soros will tell the US Senate commerce committee that oil was pushed to its recent all-time peak of $135 a barrel by a new wave of speculators. [Also see: Les Blumenthal/McClatchy] According to testimony in Cantwell's hearing this morning (check C-SPAN for details), these guys have cost the economy $500 billion. Guess that means guys like Soros have already fleeced the markets, and are coming forward now only because they don't want to take a loss? :: :: :: Image © Farid/Dartmouth.edu :: :: :: Previous Update:
"This is all about psychology, and we are not very good at oil companies about forecasting the psychology of prices," Jeroen van der Veer, CEO of global giant Royal Dutch/Shell, said on CNBC Thursday. “So we'd better prepare ourselves for more volatility because if this is psychology, it can change very quickly.”
As always the mini-driver here is a case of fear and smoking - those terrible "unknown knowns" - that cause otherwise rational people to not only believe pigs fly, but to insist they are in fact bionic UAVs controlled by megalomaniacal desert-dwelling evangalistas bent on world domination. Who knew? :: :: :: GulfNews: Oil prices surge above $135 a barrel . . . prompted by a surprise drop in projected U.S. crude oil stocks and a weaker dollar. Reuters: Opec supply could rise by 700,000 bpd this month Record-high crude prices have nothing to do with supply and demand but rather are caused by speculation and a weak dollar . . . Welcome to the world of 'market steganography''. Not a pretty picture. :: :: ::

Comments

A bit more

Sen. Cantwell: "With supply and demand fundamentals unable to explain why oil prices have doubled in the past year, the President should create a new Enron-style Task Force to ensure oil and gas markets are not being manipulated,” said Cantwell.

I am not sure I like the sound of...

"Enron-style

Alaska pipeline

What I want to know...is production at 100%. I don't know why I get the feeling the oil is just not flowing like it should. http://www.petroleumnews.com/pntruncate/463243474.shtml And then there's Alaska crabbing about protection of the Polar Bear...State will sue over polar bear listing, Palin says SPECIES STATUS: Unreliable data, threat to energy development cited.

Isn't it the case that as the dollar falls

the price of oil and other imported goods rises commensurately?
carol

Here's the Other Side of the Debate

The Wall Street Journal had an article this past weekend featuring the views of Morgan Stanley analyist Barton Biggs. He believes we are due for an economic upturn. I don't subscribe to his opinion just posting it to give both sides of the ongoing debate.
carol

Upturn

It's called a bear market rally or a dead cat bounce. And then it's straight downhill.

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