The latest KWIN-uh-pe-ack© numbers are out for the CT-Gov race of 2010 and ctblogger looks at the data overall and the questions a bit, while Ct Bob looks at the inside game of the likely voter numbers.
Needless to say, the numbers look good for the Democratic party candidates no matter how it goes down. Make the jump»
Dick Blumenthal (D) 52 (56)
Linda McMahon (R) 33 (34)
It'd been a while since we polled Connecticut, and quite frankly, I didn't expect to ever come back to this Senate race (the governor's race is another story, and a race for another day to poll).
These numbers are pretty darn close to where Quinnipiac had them yesterday:
Make the jump»
When you consider the polarization of politics across the nation, Connecticut AG Richard Blumenthal's numbers both in favorabilities and versus any of the candidates in the #GOPsmackdown primary have to be considered ridiculously good across the board:
When Chris Dodd retired last night his seat went from one of the most
vulnerable to one of the safest for Senate Democrats. Attorney General
Richard Blumenthal leads all three of the Republicans in the race by at
least 30 points in polling we conducted Monday and Tuesday night before
is unusually popular, especially in hyper partisan times when voters
like few politicians. 59% have a favorable opinion of him to just 19%
who see him negatively. It's no surprise that he's liked by 71% of
Democrats and 60% of independents, but even Republicans view him
favorably by a 37/35 margin. It doesn't take a lot of hands to count
the number of Democratic politicians with positive numbers among GOP
voters these days.
Blumenthal leads Rob Simmons 59-28, Linda
McMahon 60-28, and Peter Schiff 63-23. It would take an epic collapse
for him not to be Connecticut's next Senator.
Calling Blumenthal heavily favored is an understatement.
Regardless of his low favorabilities, if you look at Sen. Dodd's numbers versus the GOP primary candidates polled, he barely loses to Simmons and it is probably within the margin of error since it is only a 4 point gap, ties McMahon and beats Schiff. Any guesses as to whether or not Senator Dodd had acess to these numbers before making his decision last night?
CT-05 Rep. Chris Murphy beats all 3 candidates but his numbers are lower than Blumenthal's, while President Barack Obama and healthcare reform also performed well in this Connecticut poll. Peter Schiff may as well drop out of the race now as all 3 polled Democratic candidates would likely beat him with even Dodd having a 7 point lead against him.
Some of the numbers below the fold.Make the jump»
Maybe? Dorgan First:
Democratic hopes may well rest on the leader of their very thin
bench in North Dakota: Congressman Earl Pomeroy. But Pomeroy has been
relatively secure in the House, whereas a Senate bid would certainly
prove to be a greater challenge. There would likely be no small amount
of reluctance on his part to give up a reasonably secure seat and two
decades of seniority to start a career in the Senate at the age of 57.
Dorgan's statement to the press read, in part, as follows:
“It has been a special privilege to serve with Senator Conrad and
Congressman Pomeroy, who do an outstanding job for our state. And
although he inherited an economy in serious trouble, I remain confident
that President Obama is making the right decisions to put our country
back on track.
Further, my decision has no relationship to the prospect of a
difficult election contest this year. Frankly, I think if I had decided
to run for another term in the Senate I would be reelected.
But I feel that after serving 30 years, I want to make time for some
other priorities. And making a commitment to serve in the Senate for
the next seven years does not seem like the right decision for me.
So, 2010 will be my last year in the Senate.
Dorgan has been in public life since his mid-twenties, when he
became North Dakota's Tax Commissioner. From there, he served a dozen
years in the House before being elected to the US Senate. He coasted
through easy re-elections in both 1998 and 2004.
And maybe Dodd: Make the jump»
Legal problem after legal problem getting piled higher and deeper for Countrywide in the last couple of weeks...
SEC Begins Formal Probe Of Countrywide
The Securities and Exchange Commission escalated its scrutiny of Countrywide Financial Corp. into a formal investigation, according to a regulatory filing by Bank of America Corp.
The document didn't specify what aspect of the lender the SEC's probe is focused on, although regulators launched an informal inquiry into Countrywide Chairman and CEO Angelo Mozilo's stock trades last fall.
Representatives for Charlotte, N.C.-based Bank of America and Countrywide declined to comment beyond the filing Friday.
Please note the privacy issue story at the end of this because Countrywide's legal troubles just keep getting piled higher and deeper: Make the jump»