Wage-Guzzling Gas Prices

GreyHawk's picture
Hat-tip to SaraBeth for pointing out the obvious and spurring this blurb.

Here's one legacy that George W. Bush can't be too proud of: too little, too late for the average minimum wage worker. The top line shows the percentage of the minimum wage that gasoline prices are eating into -- namely, it's an increasing percentage of a hourly worker's take-home pay, leaving the worker with less than before. Note that while the federal minimum wage increases in July, I've held gas prices stagnant at $4.03/gallon -- something unlikely to prove true. Also, the federal minimum wage increases again in July of 2009 -- to $7.25 -- which reduces the percentage from 61.66 to 55.71 percent. The numbers still aren't stellar: they put the worker back to the equivalent of the second quarter of 2007, when the faltering economy was already starting to bite further into average budgets across both food and fuel prices. This is the legacy of eight years of Republican manglement management of our federal government. The figures are from the chart below, which was created using data from this spreadsheet available from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) through their page on Weekly Retail Gasoline and Diesel Prices. The source of information for the federal minimum wage comes from the History of Federal Minimum Wage Rates Under the Fair Labor Standards Act, 1938 - 2007 available on the U.S. Department of Labor website and their page on the recent update regarding the Compliance Assistance — Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA).

Year-Quarter
Data 1: U.S. Gasoline and Diesel Retail Prices(1)
Data 2: Minimum Wage
% Wage in Gas
2000 Q1
1.508
5.15
29.28%
2000 Q2
1.658
5.15
32.19%
2000 Q3
1.548
5.15
30.06%
2000 Q4
1.414
5.15
27.46%
2001 Q1
1.404
5.15
27.26%
2001 Q2
1.538
5.15
29.86%
2001 Q3
1.485
5.15
28.83%
2001 Q4
1.096
5.15
21.28%
2002 Q1
1.342
5.15
26.06%
2002 Q2
1.384
5.15
26.87%
2002 Q3
1.413
5.15
27.44%
2002 Q4
1.441
5.15
27.98%
2003 Q1
1.649
5.15
32.02%
2003 Q2
1.487
5.15
28.87%
2003 Q3
1.591
5.15
30.89%
2003 Q4
1.478
5.15
28.70%
2004 Q1
1.758
5.15
34.14%
2004 Q2
1.921
5.15
37.30%
2004 Q3
1.917
5.15
37.22%
2004 Q4
1.791
5.15
34.78%
2005 Q1
2.153
5.15
41.81%
2005 Q2
2.215
5.15
43.01%
2005 Q3
2.803
5.15
54.43%
2005 Q4
2.197
5.15
42.66%
2006 Q1
2.498
5.15
48.50%
2006 Q2
2.869
5.15
55.71%
2006 Q3
2.378
5.15
46.17%
2006 Q4
2.341
5.15
45.46%
2007 Q1
2.610
5.15
50.68%
2007 Q2
2.982
5.15
57.90%
2007 Q3
2.812
5.85
48.07%
2007 Q4
3.053
5.85
52.19%
2008 Q1
3.290
5.85
56.24%
2008 Q2
4.039
5.85
69.04%
2008 Q3
4.039
6.55
61.66%

Comments

Stretch that line back

Public benefits under Reagan: 87% of the poverty line Minimum wage under Reagan: 68% of the poverty line Simple: Republicans pay people to stay on "welfare". It is a fact, it is embedded in their interpretation of "conservative", and it is morally reprehensible. All the more reason to ask why the loyal opposition doesn't have the cojones to confront them. [Soundbite: we don't ever want to see "working" and "poor" in the same sentence again.] Raise that wage to living (110% of the 2-person poverty line + medical coverage), with a COLA tied to the inflation rate. Fer crissake, in constant dollars the wage was $9.47/hour in 1968. [Um, yes. I get a little peeved about this one.]
GreyHawk's picture

rba, have you got a good set of numbers to use

for that? Or a couple different good sets that I could combine? I think that would be a good comparison. Someone over on Delphi mentioned that an "average marketbasket" (daily cost of groceries type of thing) would be a useful item to examine as well. What other types of interesting (whether directly related or not) numbers could we compare? ...suggestions? Anything that could help provide interesting contrasts or spur study / conversation about how things are impacted, and how, would be cool.

I was thinking along these lines this morning

... trying to catch up and dig out from under weeks worth of stuff... But in doing my budgets, I pulled up the 2006 numbers... and just the one-year over increases -- for the exact same basic stuff (or even less) -- is startling! cable, phone, oil (oh my gawd oil), electricity, gas, food.. dry cleaning (as if!)

Inflation

I'm fairly certain they're trying to inflate their way out of the mortgage crisis -- hence the steep drops in interest rates which really needed to be pushed up last go round. The price inflation helps with housing prices but devastates savings and those on fixed incomes. There's no sign of wage inflation that I can see anywhere. Just the opposite in fact. We're headed for some really ugly days ahead.
GreyHawk's picture

Ugly days...yep. Many different voices both in

the economic biz and outside of it have been saying the trough will be a little longer-lasting than the optimists are predicting. :/ George has roughly six more months in office -- he can break and hide a lot of things in that period, esp. with all the help he's getting ducking oversight and accountability.

Gas

I was at the pump yesterday. Gas went up 6 cents a gallon while I was standing there. (I got the cheaper price) We desperately need to bring back manufacturing to the United States so as to maintain a broad enough base of employment options for everyone.
GreyHawk's picture

I had a college professor try to impress upon the class

the importance of manufacturing and production to a nation's base economic health, but you could see the frustration on her face as she registered that people just weren't accepting it. The "outsource nation" concepts and ideas had already started to take hold and become popular growth fodder -- this was back in the late 1980s. I should see if I could look her up and get her take on things now.

Cheap

No one wants to pay for the real value of something. They want it cheap. Discount stores. Outlet stores. Bargain basements. Bulk buying clubs. Cheap cheap cheap. Well, we get we we're not willing to pay for with a lack of jobs. Outsource just means cheap labor for bigger profit margins. Ultimately, it's eroded the consumer base. Can't buy anything if you ultimately don't make anything.

$4.29 for the cheapest grade here.

But... Americans have long had subsidized gasoline. Europeans have always paid a much more realistic price -- and thus drive smaller cars.
GreyHawk's picture

Europeans also have a much higher gas tax.

I wonder what kind of stuff we could accomplish with that kind of tax...

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